Leo is a writer for FanGraphs and an editor for Just Baseball. "I'm not worried about them (the strikeouts). I mean, you cant possibly be making a case for Abreu no using rWAR, or are you just so shook realizing how right I am and how much of an imbecile you are? 1. Erla has been a durable arm for Michigan State for several years now, but he appeared to take a massive step forward in 2020, when he struck out 42 in 26 innings on the way to putting up a 1.04 ERA. Yuli Gurriel has played professional baseball around the world, suiting up in Cuba and Japan before making his way to MLB. Dan Szymborski does a nice job assessing both Gurriels and Abreus HOF cases in this article. Thats not a super-strong number, but I think its a conservative estimate and would still garner him some HOF support. What is particularly impressive about Mantiply, though, is that literally every Even if his ROS performance was equivalent to 2021, the extra 1.5 WAR pushes him 6 spots up the list. This would all be easier if we had any idea how Cuban numbers translate. Honestly, this is good for you. Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports. The other is that he was making strides as the 2020 season came to an end, with his best start being his last. The question kind of becomes why Abreu never got close to his 2014 production (outside of 2020) again. All images are property the copyright holder and are displayed here for informational purposes only. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Ever wonder who had the most strikeouts the year you were born? About what Abreu will deserve unless he ages like Barry Bonds. Hye-seong Kim has also played shortstop and left field in recent seasons, and could also pinch run for Team Korea in the WBC (he has three seasons of at least 30 steals, with a career best of 46). To a neutral observer, Barco might appear to be third in a potential Florida rotation that would include veteran righthanders Tommy Mace and Jack Leftwich, but his stuff makes him the most likely of the three to pile up massive strikeout numbers. Despite his strong performances in the KBO, there are some storylines worth following with Kang in the WBC. All Rights Reserved by Baseball Almanac, Inc.Hosted by Hosting 4 Less. Team Koreas lineup will be headlined by Cardinals shortstop Tommy Edman and Padres infielder Ha-seong Kim, with former Orioles outfielder Hyun-soo Kim playing a supporting role, among others. Felt like he wouldve had a Vlad type of career. Through the power of anonymous downvoting and ad hom meltdowns, you truly stand tall against the myriad bullies who disagree with your pre-existing assumptions, and then provide the datapoints resulting in that disagreement. Christian Macleod, LHP, Mississippi State. We got just a short glimpse of Leiter as a freshman last season, but there was plenty to like, including 12 strikeouts in five hitless innings against South Alabama in his first start of the season. Na has big power, and in 2021 he finished in the top 5 in average exit velocity and hard hit rate in the KBO. How about pitchers from you favorite team have they ever led the league in strikeouts? If Wright managed to continue this trend through the end of the season it would be the first time in his career he achieved such a feat. The righthander might have had the best abbreviated season of anyone in 2020, as he put up a 0.32 ERA and .128 opponent batting average with 47 strikeouts and only three walks in 28 innings. First, we see the drastic decline of hitters that walk more than they strikeout. Im really talking about that that 26-30 run where he had a .250 ISO, racking up 8 more WAR in 80 fewer games than he had from 21-25. 1. At 362 career home runs, he is only 12 behind Dae-ho Lee for third all-time. So, conservatively, he would be Freddie Freeman, except for the whole thing where Freeman has been much better from age 27 onward. Youre so smart, so special, so, so braveand the genuinely odd preoccupations of your ad hominem jabs DEFINITELY trick everyone here into believing youve touched a breast since you stopped nursing in the 10th grade. Camels take series over Louisiana. BA Newsletter: Get Analysis, Rankings Delivered To Your Inbox! The lowest percentage the league has ever seen was in 2010, when only Joe Mauer, Jeff Keppinger, Daric Barton, and Albert Pujols pulled it off (3% of all qualified hitters). and he had a .964 OPS in his first season over. I also suggested that, due to what we know about aging curves, his best years mightve been mostly behind him when he arrived. On top of that, he outperformed the average hitter on balls not in play too, thanks to his minuscule strikeout rate. I agree we shouldnt use his Cuban #s, but, the supposition about what if he came over at age 20, IS interesting. In his free time, he writes for The Hardball Times, speaks about baseball research and analytics, has consulted for a Major League Baseball team, and has appeared on MLB Network's Clubhouse Confidential as well as several MLB-produced documentaries. Also since 1992, Abreu ranks 21st in WAR among first baseman for ages 27-35, just behind Fred McGriff. LOS ANGELES Sophomore second baseman Duce Gourson went 3-4 with a homer and a pair of RBIs to lead No. There actually is a lot of precedent for letting people in, even though their numbers werent up to the standard, because they were barred from joining in one way or another. Team Korea will also rely on a veteran behind the plate, with 14-year veteran catcher Eui-ji Yang of the NC Dinos. Yet the problem was more localized than that. He does not have a HOF case at all. As long as Im here, my general rule-of-thumb is that the only numbers that count outside of MLB come from Japan. It's a need that must serve the situation for fans; as long as their teams and ball players are seeded well in any competitive standings, everything feels right; as soon as it goes the other way, they start having trouble with the list and the choices made. Because of my beliefs about non-U.S. baseball accomplishments effect on hall worthiness, I dont have to grapple with these unknowables. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors Its pretty tough for players to defect from Cuba, the process can take several years in some cases. His swing currently produces a lot of line drives, which limits his ability to drive balls out of the park, though the raw power he has suggests he could sacrifice some batting average for more power with mechanical changes. Among post 1947 1B with 3,000+ PA from age 33 on, he is 21st of 33 qualifiers in fWAR. 1. College baseball fans are in for yet another fun weekend that includes a couple of high-profile tournaments and marquee rivalry series. It would be about whether its fair to completely discount his insane run from 20-25 (and especially 22-24) solely because his birthplace denied him the opportunity to compete in the majors. WebIn League Top 10 Batting Pitching Yearly League Leaders & Records for Strikeouts POWERED BY Create your own custom leaderboards Become a Stathead today and run Or because juicing Matsuis NPB stats to match the delta that Abreu saw moving from the CNS would still leave his 19-28 numbers drastically worse than Abreus? Parks continued success hitting for power has him fourth all-time in KBO home runs despite a slow start to his career and missing two of his prime years playing in North America. For the third consecutive year, we asked MLB scouting departments to grade the quality of the 2023 draft class on a 20-80 scale. Therefore, not only did Gurriels walk rate plummet, but his quality of contact worsened thanks to his poor approach at the plate. He led the AL with a 0.87 walk-to-strikeout ratio, and his .383 OBP was second only to Vladimir Guerrero Jr.s. by Retrosheet. Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports. Some will summarily throw the case out, as you did with gusto, but I think the unknown is worth probing with a charitable eye, in this case. the official stats partner of the NBA, NHL and MLB. He struck out 114 in 99.2 innings as a freshman, including 19 in a no-hitter against Duke in the super regionals. The first is Jung-hoo Lee, a 24-year-old outfielder for the Kiwoom Heroes. He could take a spot on the bench, displacing David Hensley, but Gurriel would likely prefer more guaranteed playing time and the Astros might prefer to see what Hensley has to offer. Its easy to point to Gurriels 2021 season and identify the 38-year-old as a prime bounce-back candidate. On the other hand, due to injury, he has only pitched in three games since the end of that season. The fact that the Astros, who have for years stuck with him through his ups and downs, have moved on is probably the biggest indictment of where hes at right now. Hurter missed part of the 2019 season and all of the 2020 season due to injury. Perhaps he should have taken the guaranteed cash when it was still on the table. Stony Brook 4 Troy 9 Baseball vs Stony Brook February 24, 2023 2 p.m. Triples When a batter reaches on a hit and stops at third base or only advances The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball. He rarely makes poor swing decisions (23.1% chase rate), and when he does unleash, Rutschman makes a Seasons before and after were unremarkable as well. His peak would have had to have been one of the best of all time to get him to even 50 WAR. However, it pales in comparison to the 10%+ rise in strikeouts per plate appearance since 1920. Bats: Unknown The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted McCullers stepped into the role of staff ace for Houston in 2021, going 13-5 with a 3.16 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 185 strikeouts over a career-high 162.1 innings. But thats not this. WebMLB News Max Scherzer after balk: Umps 'need to figure out' pitch clock limits Max Scherzer has theorized that baseball's new pitch clock will allow pitchers to dictate the His walk rate fell in response. That, when applied to what I believe is a fair evaluation for foreign players who come to the U.S. at advanced ages, puts him squarely behind even a large hall standard. I clicked on this because I was wondering what on earth Gurriel could do that would stimulate this much conversation, and it turns out my skepticism is well founded. & thats without doing something subjective like assuming his peak was ages 21-26. Bill leads Predictive Modeling and Data Science consulting at Gallup. All rights reserved. Id love for the completely unknowable downvoter to explain why they disagree with Dan Szymborkski, and instead think that because answering a question is difficult, we shouldnt try to answer it at all. Only 21 went for extra bases. Abel is the wildcard on this list. All that progress went out the window in 2022. He took a lot of criticism for how he reacted to Koreas disappointing fourth- place finish in the Tokyo Olympics, though he did hit .308 with a double and 4 RBI over the tournament. If it is just that he got to the states just as his peak was ending, then we are talking about a likely 1st ballot kind of guy. In 2022, he was still good at the things he did well, but he was worse than ever at what he already did poorly. Ralph Kiner is a good exemplar of the type over 24 bWAR through age 26. Hes between now-36 Brandon Crawford (49th) and Randy Winn (51st). One is his pure stuff, which includes a devastating fastball-slider combination. Once out of pool play, the pitching it faces is expected to be much tougher, and their hitters ability to adjust to high-end pitchers will determine how far the team goes. He posted a career-high contact rate and a career-low swinging strike rate. The fact is he came to the US and performed as a thoroughly average player, with stints of being above and well below average in between. Also available on the infield is Ji-hwan Oh, who has won the KBO Fielding Bible Award at shortstop in each of the last two seasons. This is conjecture without the facts to back it up. With a fastball that can reach the high 90s, a plus changeup and slider, and a cutter with potential, theres an argument to be made that hill has the best raw stuff in college baseball. Shippensburg (9-4) notched 12 hits across two games while the Raider pitching staff totaled 16 strikeouts and just three walks. Do you have a sports website? Ahead of a test this weekend at the Frisco Classic, the Bulldogs are starting to build consistency. WebMLB Baseball Player Stats & Stats Leaders - Strikeout %. Most teams with room for a veteran first base bat have already found their guy: the Reds nabbed Wil Myers, the Cubs picked Eric Hosmer, and the Athletics took a chance on Jess Aguilar. On groundballs and line drives, his average EV and HardHit% were both close to his career averages. Baseball vs Stony Brook February 25, 2023 3 p.m. baseball Final Feb 26 Stony Brook 7 Troy 9 Stats Baseball vs Rice (Minute Maid Park) March 5, 2023 3 p.m. Tue, Mar 7 6 p.m. Unfortunately hes likely to just done now. And I personally dont believe large assumptions should be made in this type of case. Helps me be friendly and charming in real life! Coming off a last-place finish in 2022, Mississippi State is trying to get back to the top of the SEC. It would be more of a McGriff-like case than a Pujols-like case, but its worth considering, I think. He took a lot of criticism for, how he reacted to Koreas disappointing fourth- place finish in the Tokyo Olympics. Lee is the best pure hitter in the KBO, with a career batting average of .342 and more career walks than strikeouts. 1. Kendrys Morales 1.009 in Cuba ages 18-20, spent time in minors, .780 overall in MLB. Yang is a solid defender, having won the 2020 KBO Fielding Bible Award at catcher, and has plenty of experience calling games and leading pitching staffs. KANSAS CITY, Mo. He is hurt disproportionately by having his MVP season in 2020, he was playing at a 7.8 fWAR pace, but only gets credit for 2.9. Sat, Mar 11 2 p.m. Who will be 2021s strikeout king? Beyond the MLB players and potential future stars, Team Korea has some veteran players rounding out the lineup from the KBO. Fair enough, I was just thinking about it in terms of his total WAR over the period relative to the historical comps. Look, perhaps a player in Cuba is a sadder story than a player in Japan, but we dont put guys in the hall of fame just because they were amazing in Japan and then above average in the U.S. How can Abreu get some special treatment when Hideki Matsui, who absolutely crushed much better completion in Japan before coming over and being an above average player even though at 29 he was likely past his prime. Along with Jeff Zimmerman, he won the 2013 SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis. His baserunning is similar, as he is a good baserunner due to his natural athleticism, but does not have elite speed or base stealing ability. 1. Hajjar is going into his third season in the Michigan program, but after a redshirt season and the 2020 cancellation, he hasnt thrown that many competitive pitches. Between the injuries Kang struggled to produce at the plate for the first time in his career, posting career lows in many categories in his statline. Turns out, its exceedingly rare. List of Major League Baseball career strikeouts by batters WebTriples When a batter reaches on a hit and stops at third base or only advances farther than third base on an error or a fielder's attempt to put out another baserunner. His work has also been featured at Baseball Prospectus, Pitcher List, and SB Nation. Baseball UT Arlington Stats Baseball vs UT Arlington March 7, 2023 6 p.m. Fri, Mar 10 6:30 p.m. The first is Jung-hoo Lee, a 24-year-old outfielder for the Kiwoom Heroes. Yeah, the Cuban #s is the rub. Then, in 2021, Gurriel made a notable effort to improve his plate discipline without sacrificing contact. WebCurrently viewing seasons between 2021 and 2021. Simply speaking, Mantiply has become the epitome of control. He still possesses elite contact skills, but those skills are far less valuable when hes swinging at worse pitches and hitting without thump. Matchup History. These are the top control artists in MLB; four starters and six relievers that win with accuracy. RP Joe Mantiply, ARI (2.5 BB%) Devin Wiles. When hes been healthy, hes been inconsistent in his career, but hes always been able to dominate hitters when hes on. Just look at the list of names who've led their league in strikeouts in recent seasons: Jacob deGrom, Shane Bieber, Gerrit Cole, Max Scherzer, Justin Verlander, Chris But we're still waiting for the workaholic right-hander in the Yankees pinstripes to have his first genuinely dominant season. Na attracted some interest from MLB teams after the 2020 season, but was unable to find a contract to his liking and returned to the KBO. Alongside Hyun-soo Kim, who fans likely remember from his time in Baltimore, Byung-ho Park is the other position player with MLB experience. Lee will be hoping to use the WBC as a chance to showcase his hitting skills against elite pitchers, as he is expected to be posted by Kiwoom after the 2023 season. Its a relatively small sample, sure, but Lonsway led the country in strikeouts per nine innings last season by punching out 42 hitters in 18 innings of work. Ohtani LAA. Right now, there are a grand total of six qualified hitters who also have a higher walk than strikeout rate: I wondered how rare a feat this is, even given the increase in the three true outcomes. Abreu is 39th in post-1947 1B in fWAR between ages 27-35 behind guys like Youkilis and Adrian Gonzalez. This past winter, Rodon decided to forego the final year of his deal with the San Francisco Giants. Some defensive statistics Copyright Sports Info Solutions, 2010-2023. Yet as he enters his age-39 season, theres a reason teams have been hesitant to offer him a guaranteed role. Had 4.2 rWAR last year & is signed for 3 more years. .200-.250 OPS seems like the gap between the CNS and the MLB (Rusney Castillo is at .202, Gurriel is at .248). If the righthander can keep that pace up over an entire season, hell have one of the highest strikeout totals in the country and it will bode well for the Shockers being a force in 2021. He is only 7 hits away from reaching 2,000 career KBO hits, and is 38 home runs behind Seung-yeop Lee in all-time KBO home runs. He was by no means a lock as a HOF case, but he made it in. WebCheck out the Spring 2023 Mississippi Boys Baseball Batters Struck Out stat leaders, including stats for Batters Faced, Innings Pitched Decimal, and Games Played. Maybe someday we will get a better sense of how to translate Korean or Cuban stats but we arent there yet. Per the Miami Herald, the Marlins made an offer to Gurriel earlier this winter, but the veteran was hesitant to accept. Yes, hes ahead of obvious future Hall of Famer Miguel Cabrera, but the vast majority of elected and future hall of famers do much much better age 32-38 than he has. To sum it all up, Gurriels biggest weakness his lack of power became an even bigger problem last season. He swung less often, particularly at pitches outside the strike zone. Note: A bold faced entry denotes that the player was active during the previous Major League season. The big takeaway is that finishing the season with a higher walk rate is incredibly rare in the current environment. Jacob DeGrom will pitch for Texas on opening day, donning a different uniform than that of the Mets for the first time in the majors. LOS ANGELES Sophomore second baseman Duce Gourson went 3-4 with a homer and a pair of RBIs to lead No. Tats SDP. I assume the next taek will be Why does anyone think he would have been better than Aaron Judge from 21-24, when he was way worse from 27-30???????. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Yet since moving stateside, Gurriel has worn just one uniform, and it still seems strange to think of him wearing any colors other than blue, orange, and white. If you use Abreus own, it comes to a 1.029 OPS, over those 5 years. Give him 4-5 more years from age 21-26 & yeah, I can see it..IF he had played in MLB. His advanced metrics show how much the injuries limited his game. The bullpen is one of the sports best, and the top four starters Max Fried, Spencer Strider, Kyle Wright and Charlie Morton are elite. 2.78. If we just restrict the list to players whose first season in the majors was later than 1970, the leader board looks like this: We can see that the leader board is dominated by players whose first season was between 1980 and 1989 (14). Last season Lee did his best Tony Gwynn impression, posting a tiny 5% strikeout rate with an 11% walk rate. He swings more than the average hitter at pitches outside the zone and less than the average hitter at pitches inside the zone. For comparison, the league average was 131. He has walked more than he has struck out in four of the last five seasons, while posting his best power numbers during that time as well. Since we started awarding the KBO Fielding Bible Awards in 2020, the center field award has been won by either Hae-min Park (2020 and 2022) and Ji-hoon Choi (2021). Im deeply sorry that he cracked 50% as a known fucking cheater, because his statistical case is so unambiguous from both a traditional and SABR perspective. - Strikeouts Leader (1933-1934 & 1937) / Hall of Famer Lefty Gomez. His time in the U.S., only measured against players the same age, suggests hes not a hall of famer. He has put up 10 WAR in 7 seasons. Even accounting for longevity, he accomplished the feat in 86% of his qualified seasons. Lee ranked fourth in the KBO last season with an average exit velocity of 89 MPH according to our Synthetic Statcast model (SIS replicates Statcast data for non-MLB leagues), and he also finished in the top 10 in hard-hit rate (38%) and expected BABIP (.388). Roster. The only HOFer I saw that was behind him was Orlando Cepeda. They'll happen. I then included the strikeout, walk, and home run rates for each season as well to see if they helped explain the trends we see. Active Batting Batting Career Leaders & Records for Strikeouts POWERED BY Create your own custom leaderboards Become a Stathead today and run queries with our He did benefit a bit from the sharp decline in strikeout rates that started in 1969, but even still amassing 18 such seasons is an impressive feat. Sponsors. What was the offensive environment? HR. Meanwhile, the newfound plate discipline that briefly helped him defy the aging curve completely disappeared. Home Perkins doesnt have the track record of many of the pitchers on this list, as hes started just four games in his career, but hell have a chance to shine as a member of the Louisville weekend rotation in 2021. For more context, since 2006, he ranks 50th in WAR for ages 32-38. Cespedes was put up about a 1.050 OPS from ages 22-24 in Cuba then .861 in his first year in MLB and .824 overall. In order to access this exclusive content you must have a Baseball America Account. He is a natural athlete, but doesnt have the elite instincts needed to play a high-end center field and profiles better in a corner spot long-term. Durham Bulls (Rays AAA) 86-44, .662 4. Osmond had an up-and-down abbreviated first season in Stillwater, but he has a couple of things going for him headed into next season. Another step forward could put him among the countrys top arms in terms of strikeouts. Gurriels swing and o-swing rates jumped back up to where they once were. Once heralded as a five-tool player, Gurriel was a shell of his former self. These are his career numbers compared to the AL average since he entered the league: Gurriel has never been a major home run threat, but hes always had just enough pop that his other skills were sufficient to compensate. This year, the Pirates will team up with the Pitt Community College and Clemson baseball programs to help fight and strikeout ALS with a goal of raising $10,000. His performance on grounders was down relative to his career numbers but was still comfortably above average. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. The Fish eventually nixed the deal, although the Heralds report suggests they could still invite Gurriel to camp as a non-roster invitee. Did you know that eight of the top ten single season strikeout records all occurred during the nineteen century? HOU You know who does? They look great, but,there are a # of issues. On groundballs and line drives, Gurriel was perfectly fine. Others would support their assertions by pointing out that Shohei Ohtani has been seeded relatively low in the standings. Prielipp never got his chance to prove himself against SEC competition, but if his debut is any indication, hell be able to hold his own. That would mean Abreu wouldve needed less than 40% of Alberts output to be at the 52 WAR I conjectured without facts (because there are no stats for those years). Last season, he struck out 28 in just 15 innings of work, and hell go into next season with a repertoire that includes an improved changeup and a fourth pitch, a cutter.
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